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The other day, I had occasion to prepare an adoption forecast for a service, and, like any good innovator who knows anything, I formulated my answer using a nice s-curve shaped curve. S-curves are such a useful tool for forecasting the adoption of anything – particularly anything that involves communication and collaboration – because they describe how the phycology of…

Over the last week, I was in Singapore with Microsoft and others. Whilst I was there, I found these things interesting enough to note… and comment on. Having a bright idea now takes 20 years longer “ALBERT Einstein famously declared anyone who hadn’t made a scientific breakthrough by the age of 30 never would. That was by and large true…

The other day, I saw the stunning infographic (below, via TechCrunch) which documents the shape of Android. As multiple other commentators before me have remarked, it shows just how fragmented the platform has become from the perspective of developers and, of course, users. There are few Android users I  know, actually, who don’t tell stories of the problems they’ve had…

There is a core set of functionality everyone has and which is easy to build. It is also the core set of functionality that the market demands. You may have dreamed up something new, but it is probably irrelevant to current buyers unless you change the playing field in the space of the core functionality. Solution: The only feature worth…

An excerpt from Sidestep and Twist, which comes out in a month (your comments welcome!): One of the greatest myths of our time is this: if you create something original, something that’s genuinely a breakthrough, you have a better than average chance of getting rich. For most businesses and most entrepreneurs, this notion is something of a fantasy. If you…